Objectives: Ventilatory dependency is a widely recognized complication of cardiovascular surgery, often leading to tracheostomy. Some risk factors for its occurrence have been documented. Less well characterized are short- and long-term outcomes. Therefore, objectives were to identify risk factors for ventilatory dependency, assess its short- and long-term outcomes, and determine impact of tracheostomy.
Methods: From January 1998 to September 2001, 12,777 patients underwent cardiovascular surgery and survived at least 72 hours. Of these patients, 704 (5.5%) developed ventilatory dependency (cumulative intubation >72 hours); 185 (26%) underwent tracheostomy. Preoperative, intraoperative, and intensive care unit admission data were used sequentially to understand predictors of ventilatory dependency. Outcomes were analyzed by time-related methods, and impact of tracheostomy was assessed using competing-risks analysis.
Results: Hemodynamic status on intensive care unit admission (low cardiac output, vasopressor use, pulmonary hypertension; P < .0001) and early postoperative events (stroke, bacteremia; P < .0001) were more important than preoperative and intraoperative variables in predicting ventilatory dependency. Survival at 30 days, 1 year, and 5 years thereafter was 76%, 49%, and 33% and was strongly associated with favorable hemodynamic status. By 28 days, 24% of patients received tracheostomy; survival at 30 days and 2 years thereafter was 74% and 26%, considerably below anticipated survivals of 84% and 58%.
Conclusions: Improved operative and postoperative strategies to preserve myocardial function and restore hemodynamics should decrease the prevalence of ventilatory dependency. Unfortunately, preoperative models of ventilatory dependency are too insensitive for clinical use. Tracheostomy and its outcome are also poorly predicted, highlighting the complex interaction of events altering patients' conditions before and after tracheostomy.